Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 48% on 9 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 59 daily closes on record from 9 Dec 2025 to 4 Feb 2026, the highest close was 60% on 15 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 4 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 0.1% on 4 Feb 2026. $70.76K traded over the market's life.
51 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 5, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 59 points, 9 Dec 2025 – 4 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Dec 2025 | 48.0% |
| 4 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ZaiZoiBele | Yes | 12.62K |
| AntonSF | Yes | 1.25K |
| Vicious-Miscommunication | Yes | 592.1 |
| adose | Yes | 321.68 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Sunday, January 4, 2026 between Hull City AFC and Watford FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-hul-wat-2026-01-04
| goldeye | Yes | 300 |
| HerroFolkz | Yes | 266.67 |
| PatD3 | Yes | 249.97 |
| Letsgetrich22 | Yes | 200 |
| Uncomfortable-Cutover | Yes | 100 |
| liklik | Yes | 100 |
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