Resolved No on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 69.5%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 9 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 21 Feb 2026 and the low 29.5% on 6 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 35% on 1 Mar 2026.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 6:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 9 Feb 2026 – 7 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2026 | 48.5% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 30.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ewelmealt | Yes | 50K |
| averageuser | Yes | 7.33K |
| Cointraders | Yes | 3K |
| Tired-Misrepresentation | Yes | 1.67K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.61K |
| Worthless-Credibility | Yes | 1.19K |
| Rancerr | Yes | 1K |
| Hungry-Timber | Yes | 1K |
| rox119 | Yes | 500 |
| gjfdk8ef4gty6 | Yes | 303.03 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, March 7, 2026 between Hull City AFC and Millwall FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-hul-mil-2026-03-07
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