Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 69.5%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 19 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 19 Jan 2026 to 14 Feb 2026, the highest close was 50% on 20 Jan 2026 and the lowest 26% on 9 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 30% on 8 Feb 2026. $6.23K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 16, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 19 Jan 2026 – 14 Feb 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2026 | 48.5% |
| 14 Feb 2026 | 30.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Criminal-Filly | Yes | 2.03K |
| Fluffy-Legislator | Yes | 140 |
| CorellianCoder | Yes | 100 |
| Flawless-Masonry | Yes | 96.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, February 14, 2026 between Derby County FC and Swansea City AFC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-der-swa-2026-02-14
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| ELRUUBO | Yes | 95.28 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 90 |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 87.47 |
| JHH888 | Yes | 86.48 |
| AwanCici | Yes | 86.26 |
| Cannae | Yes | 31.19 |
