Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 53%. Yes opened at 46% on 24 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 24 Nov 2025 to 20 Dec 2025, the highest close was 50.5% on 27 Nov 2025 and the lowest 38% on 9 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 48.5% on 14 Dec 2025. $48.36K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 22, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 24 Nov 2025 – 20 Dec 2025, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Nov 2025 | 46.0% |
| 20 Dec 2025 | 47.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| comon119 | Yes | 30K |
| Dustybeermat | Yes | 7.4K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.54K |
| xhisaidhwaih80921dhxmtest1 | Yes | 193.88 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, December 20, 2025 between Derby County FC and Portsmouth FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-der-por-2025-12-20
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Circular-Paramecium | Yes | 50 |
| AndrianoLamo | Yes | 41.67 |
| shame | Yes | 29.17 |
| bibebong8801 | Yes | 26.53 |
| Nopein | Yes | 20 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 14.99 |
