Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 14 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 52.5% on 14 Nov 2025 and the low 0.1% on 11 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 0.1% on 11 Dec 2025. $44.47K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 12, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 28 points · 14 Nov 2025 – 11 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 | 52.5% |
| 11 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| comon119 | Yes | 15K |
| nzone | Yes | 884.69 |
| IzzieSmalls | Yes | 714 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 551.37 |
| leoric064 | Yes | 208.33 |
| Important-Address | Yes | 175.76 |
| Emerald Pioneer C5D8 | Yes | 121 |
| Immense-Driver | Yes | 106.06 |
| CannaDough | Yes | 80.65 |
| Rapid Vector 9788 | Yes | 77.9 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Wednesday, December 10, 2025 between Derby County FC and Millwall FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-der-mil-2025-12-10
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
