Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 30.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 6 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 6 Dec 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 50% on 6 Dec 2025 and the lowest 29.5% on 29 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 29.5% on 29 Dec 2025. $22.56K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 3, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 6 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 30.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 445.75 |
| nzone | No | 170 |
| choove | No | 150 |
| Medium-Firewall | No | 79.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Thursday, January 1, 2026 between Derby County FC and Middlesbrough FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-der-mid-2026-01-01
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Circular-Paramecium | No | 45.43 |
| CaoNatGamefi | No | 15.62 |
| alborotocrypto | No | 6.17 |
| Punisher2022 | No | 5 |
| z3uSS | No | 3.85 |
| Keya006 | No | 3.13 |
