
Resolved No on 7 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 72%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 12 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 12 Jan 2026 to 7 Feb 2026, the highest close was 50% on 20 Jan 2026 and the lowest 27.5% on 5 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 29.5% on 1 Feb 2026. $7.11K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 8, 4:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 12 Jan 2026 – 7 Feb 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2026 | 48.5% |
| 7 Feb 2026 | 28.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.37K |
| ElInesperado | Yes | 400 |
| pchca | Yes | 357.14 |
| Flof | Yes | 332.58 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, February 7, 2026 between Derby County FC and Ipswich Town FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-der-ips-2026-02-07
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| notJaneStreet | Yes | 300 |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 245.31 |
| PatD3 | Yes | 200 |
| Rich-Map | Yes | 101.9 |
| AndrianoLamo | Yes | 71.43 |
| 2026richlv | Yes | 60 |