Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 83.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 8 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 10 Mar 2026 and the low 15% on 25 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 28.5% on 23 Mar 2026. $41.1K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 4, 9:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 8 Mar 2026 – 27 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2026 | 49.0% |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 16.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 1.37K |
| Loving-Citron | Yes | 519.99 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 361.64 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 228.51 |
| Emerald Pioneer C5D8 | Yes | 109 |
| Cannae | Yes | 84.93 |
| CorellianCoder | Yes | 59.8 |
| Hot-Temperature | Yes | 52.63 |
| human.bean | Yes | 48.16 |
| skycreekwiz | Yes | 31.32 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Friday, April 3, 2026 between Coventry City FC and Derby County FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-cov-der-2026-04-03
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