Resolved No on 12 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 73%. Yes opened at 50% on 16 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 51.5% on 25 Mar 2026 and the low 24.5% on 7 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 24.5% on 7 Apr 2026. $20.33K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 13, 2:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 26 points · 16 Mar 2026 – 11 Apr 2026 · axis zoomed to 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 11 Apr 2026 | 27.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.81K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 612.52 |
| Babyish-Finance | Yes | 128.62 |
| Stony1989 | Yes | 100 |
| Kreww | Yes | 96.43 |
| 8288283 | Yes | 81.42 |
| x233mqav023lbadsunelga01m3bsp | Yes | 80 |
| Bright Quasar 0CFE | Yes | 70.71 |
| Cannae | Yes | 58.03 |
| When. | Yes | 50 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between Birmingham City FC and Wrexham AFC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-bir-wre-2026-04-11
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