
Resolved No on 2 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 8 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 56% on 9 Nov 2025 and the low 0.1% on 2 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 28% on 27 Nov 2025. $11.94K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 3, 8:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 25 points · 8 Nov 2025 – 2 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | 43.5% |
| 2 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SuperMikel | Yes | 3.36K |
| -AL- | Yes | 1.9K |
| nzone | Yes | 1.12K |
| passenger-22 | Yes | 991.82 |
| 0xgains | Yes | 370.37 |
| knedloveprovelo | Yes | 270 |
| hansama | Yes | 150 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 108.97 |
| konichanlove7 | Yes | 100 |
| aaa.777 | Yes | 100 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Monday, December 1, 2025 between Birmingham City FC and Watford FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-bir-wat-2025-12-01
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