Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 54.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 16 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 2 Mar 2026 and the low 40% on 5 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 40% on 5 Mar 2026.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 7:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 27 points · 16 Feb 2026 – 14 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2026 | 49.5% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| duppyhassan | Yes | 1.91K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 716.11 |
| ksjkhsfhuahd108313 | Yes | 425.52 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 320.01 |
| kratos00 | Yes | 290 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 91 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 80.59 |
| Misty Horizon A7C6 | Yes | 66.91 |
| hsy5652 | Yes | 57.91 |
| rox119 | Yes | 50.15 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, March 14, 2026 between Birmingham City FC and Sheffield United FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-bir-she-2026-03-14
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