Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 5 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 18 Feb 2026 and the low 0.1% on 3 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 0.1% on 3 Mar 2026. $34.17K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 4, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 27 points · 5 Feb 2026 – 3 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Feb 2026 | 48.5% |
| 3 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | Yes | 2.91K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 2.13K |
| oxcean | Yes | 714.29 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 699.29 |
| reddyroo | Yes | 499.49 |
| Flawless-Masonry | Yes | 370.37 |
| NotMarat | Yes | 285.71 |
| ilya11 | Yes | 186 |
| Uncommon-Spacing | Yes | 181.82 |
| Trifling-Door | Yes | 172.38 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Monday, March 2, 2026 between Birmingham City FC and Middlesbrough FC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elc-bir-mid-2026-03-02
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