Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 37%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 27 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 27 Mar 2026 to 29 Mar 2026, the highest close was 63% on 29 Mar 2026 and the lowest 49% on 28 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 63% on 29 Mar 2026. $698.83 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 4, 4:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 27 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026, chart shows 45%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 63.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| drnothing | Yes | 15.91 |
| stph81 | Yes | 14 |
| Indigo Summit 4D49 | Yes | 9.91 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 5.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming League Two game, scheduled for Friday, April 3, 2026 between Grimsby Town FC and Harrogate Town AFC.
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/el2-gri-har-2026-04-03
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