
Resolved Zendeli on 3 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Zendeli at 45%. The El Dafrawy side opened at 60.5% on 1 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2025 to 3 Oct 2025, the highest close was 65% on 2 Oct 2025 and the lowest 55% on 3 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 55% on 3 Oct 2025. $980 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 12:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the El Dafrawy price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 1 Oct 2025 – 3 Oct 2025, chart shows 50%–70%
| Observed | El Dafrawy price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2025 | 60.5% |
| 3 Oct 2025 | 55.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| newblud | El Dafrawy | 125 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a Polymarket on whether Usman Nurmagomedov or Paul Hughes will win their bout at PFL: Nurmagomedov vs. Hughes, scheduled for October 3. This market will resolve to "Nurmagomedov" if Usman Nurmagomedov is declared the winner. This market will resolve to "Hughes" if Paul Hughes is declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the bout is not scored, postponed after October 10, 2025, or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official PFL website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pfl-champions-series-2-nurmagomedov-vs-hughes
New to prediction markets?