Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 5 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 181 daily closes on record from 5 Apr 2024 to 2 Oct 2024, the highest close was 49.5% on 6 Apr 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 16% on 7 Apr 2024. $375.2K traded over the market's life.
51 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 7:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 181 points, 5 Apr 2024 – 2 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2024 | 16.5% |
| 2 Oct 2024 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 214.36K |
| Impossible-Plier | Yes | 5.84K |
| Lottinator-932 | Yes | 2.84K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Eigenlayer's token is between $20,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $25,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Eigenlayer doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eigenlayer-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch
New to prediction markets?
| Impish-Nobody | Yes | 2.01K |
| DrStrange | Yes | 1.43K |
| Bary | Yes | 1.33K |
| Rognar | Yes | 1.32K |
| Enregizer | Yes | 1.3K |
| Carnivore | Yes | 1.29K |
| TRUMPMAGA | Yes | 687.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
