Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 27 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 27 Sep 2024 to 8 Oct 2024, the highest close was 36.5% on 27 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 6% on 28 Sep 2024. $36.67K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 9, 4:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 27 Sep 2024 – 8 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2024 | 36.5% |
| 8 Oct 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 37.25K |
| tatakae4321 | Yes | 500 |
| MystX1cRay | No | 0.09 |
| ExhaustedBoyBilly | No | 0.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Eigenlayer's token is between $9,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $10,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 week after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 week after launch" is defined as 168 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Eigenlayer doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eigenlayer-market-cap-fdv-one-week-after-launch
New to prediction markets?
| freedays | No | 0.04 |
| Hoober | No | 0.03 |
