Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 44% on 27 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 27 Sep 2024 to 8 Oct 2024, the highest close was 44% on 27 Sep 2024 and the lowest 1.9% on 8 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 24.5% on 28 Sep 2024. $418.08K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 9, 7:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 27 Sep 2024 – 8 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2024 | 44.0% |
| 8 Oct 2024 | 1.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 37.25K |
| POMA | Yes | 1.82K |
| MeeWer | Yes | 1.8K |
| rousseauuu | Yes | 750 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Eigenlayer's token is less than $5,000,000,000 1 week after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 week after launch" is defined as 168 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Eigenlayer doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes."
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eigenlayer-market-cap-fdv-one-week-after-launch
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| Hoogan | Yes | 50.01 |
