Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 55% on 14 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 139 daily closes on record from 14 Feb 2024 to 1 Jul 2024, the highest close was 81.5% on 4 Apr 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 30 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 22.5% on 30 Apr 2024. $377.95K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 5:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 139 points, 14 Feb 2024 – 1 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2024 | 55.0% |
| 1 Jul 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| arbe | Yes | 3.62K |
| prvok | Yes | 3.02K |
| nothanks123 | Yes | 886.28 |
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Official listing: polymarket.com/event/airdrops-by-june-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 701.05 |
| Lalaf | Yes | 683.41 |
| Ikefx | Yes | 575 |
| whocares? | Yes | 522.43 |
| 60DD | Yes | 230.47 |
| profile6 | Yes | 200 |
| Paolo | Yes | 162.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
