Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 23.5%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 11 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2026 to 2 Apr 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 79.5% on 24 Mar 2026 and the lowest 45.5% on 11 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 79.5% on 24 Mar 2026. $621.41K traded over the market's life.
262 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 6, 2:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 11 Mar 2026 – 2 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | 45.5% |
| 2 Apr 2026 | 76.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Anjun | Yes | 9.08K |
| djokowin | Yes | 5.85K |
| Blissful-Unity | Yes | 5.39K |
| TheLegionstays | Yes | 4.96K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming FA Cup game, scheduled for Saturday, April 4, 2026 between Southampton FC and Arsenal FC.
Resolution source: https://www.thefa.com/competitions/thefacup
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/efa-sot-ars-2026-04-04
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Wintermute-Sport | Yes | 4.86K |
| TradeQC2025 | Yes | 4.75K |
| Pungent-Protest | Yes | 3.83K |
| taketwobruw | Yes | 3.73K |
| VAMOSSS | Yes | 3.07K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 2.65K |
