Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 18 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 18 Feb 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 54.5% on 24 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 0.1% on 8 Mar 2026.
94 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 2:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 18 Feb 2026 – 8 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 | 31.5% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | Yes | 8.84K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 5.37K |
| DonalJTrumpBSC | Yes | 2.23K |
| Uncommon-Spacing | Yes | 1.58K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming FA Cup game, scheduled for Saturday, March 7, 2026 between Newcastle United FC and Manchester City FC.
Resolution source: https://www.thefa.com/competitions/thefacup
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/efa-new-mnc-2026-03-07
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Incomplete-Culture | Yes | 1.24K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 732.5 |
| onetwo4ever | Yes | 461.29 |
| Unlucky-Charm | Yes | 319.05 |
| opensea11 | Yes | 310 |
| lagoness | Yes | 254.24 |
