Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78%. Yes opened at 18.5% on 11 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2026 to 29 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 47.5% on 22 Mar 2026 and the lowest 17% on 15 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 45% on 16 Mar 2026. $399.02K traded over the market's life.
152 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 5, 6:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 11 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | 18.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 22.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RJW1 | Yes | 53.18K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 47.14K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 15.11K |
| Azure Scout 9636 | Yes | 10K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming FA Cup game, scheduled for Saturday, April 4, 2026 between Manchester City FC and Liverpool FC.
Resolution source: https://www.thefa.com/competitions/thefacup
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/efa-mnc-liv-2026-04-04
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Stekarn568 | Yes | 9.74K |
| Sharkbets.pro | Yes | 5.82K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Yes | 4.08K |
| Wintermute-Sport | Yes | 3.31K |
| Cannae | Yes | 3.15K |
| wyw15998551595 | Yes | 2.01K |
