Analytics
Resolved No on 16 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76.5%. Yes opened at 25% on 28 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 28 Apr 2026 to 16 May 2026, the highest close was 25.5% on 2 May 2026 and the lowest 23.5% on 12 May 2026. $178.99K traded over the market's life.
165 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 17, 6:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 28 Apr 2026 – 16 May 2026, chart shows 15%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2026 | 25.0% |
| 16 May 2026 | 23.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 4buc0 | Yes | 25.08K |
| brokehim | Yes | 5.38K |
| Vacant-Landscape | Yes | 2.72K |
| eitherway | Yes | 2.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming FA Cup game, scheduled for Saturday, May 16, 2026 between Chelsea FC and Manchester City FC.
Resolution source: https://www.thefa.com/competitions/thefacup
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/efa-cfc-mnc-2026-05-16
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Aaaaaguess | Yes | 2.19K |
| Toodles89 | Yes | 2K |
| pkmgoh92 | Yes | 2K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.65K |
| W-ITALIA | Yes | 1.09K |
| Amber Kestrel 9099 | Yes | 1K |
