ECB rate hike in 2026?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jun 11, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$165.5K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jun 11, 2026 UTC

Topic roomECB interest rates

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Jun 11, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Jun 11, 12:00 AM UTC	99.7%	99.7%
Jun 10, 12:00 AM UTC	99.4%	99.4%
Jun 9, 12:00 AM UTC	99.3%	99.3%
Jun 8, 12:00 AM UTC	98.5%	98.5%
Jun 7, 12:00 AM UTC	98.2%	98.2%
Jun 6, 12:00 AM UTC	98.2%	98.2%
Jun 5, 12:00 AM UTC	99.1%	99.1%
Jun 4, 12:00 AM UTC	98.0%	98.0%
Jun 3, 12:00 AM UTC	97.3%	97.3%
Jun 2, 12:00 AM UTC	97.0%	97.0%
Jun 1, 12:00 AM UTC	96.6%	96.6%
May 31, 12:00 AM UTC	96.5%	96.5%
May 30, 12:00 AM UTC	96.7%	96.7%
May 29, 12:00 AM UTC	94.5%	94.5%
May 28, 12:00 AM UTC	90.5%	90.5%
May 27, 12:00 AM UTC	87.5%	87.5%
May 26, 12:00 AM UTC	84.0%	84.0%
May 25, 12:00 AM UTC	94.0%	94.0%
May 24, 12:00 AM UTC	92.0%	92.0%
May 23, 12:00 AM UTC	93.5%	93.5%
May 22, 12:00 AM UTC	93.5%	93.5%
May 21, 12:00 AM UTC	93.5%	93.5%
May 20, 12:00 AM UTC	93.5%	93.5%
May 19, 12:00 AM UTC	93.5%	93.5%
May 18, 12:00 AM UTC	92.5%	92.5%
May 17, 12:00 AM UTC	92.0%	92.0%
May 16, 12:00 AM UTC	92.0%	92.0%
May 15, 12:00 AM UTC	91.5%	91.5%
May 14, 12:00 AM UTC	90.5%	90.5%
May 13, 12:00 AM UTC	88.5%	88.5%
May 12, 12:00 AM UTC	87.5%	87.5%
May 11, 12:00 AM UTC	87.5%	87.5%
May 10, 12:00 AM UTC	84.5%	84.5%
May 9, 12:00 AM UTC	84.5%	84.5%
May 8, 12:00 AM UTC	86.0%	86.0%
May 7, 12:00 AM UTC	85.5%	85.5%
May 6, 12:00 AM UTC	91.5%	91.5%
May 5, 12:00 AM UTC	91.5%	91.5%
May 4, 12:00 AM UTC	90.0%	90.0%
May 3, 12:00 AM UTC	90.5%	90.5%
May 2, 12:00 AM UTC	92.0%	92.0%
May 1, 12:00 AM UTC	89.0%	89.0%
Apr 30, 12:00 AM UTC	88.5%	88.5%
Apr 29, 12:00 AM UTC	84.5%	84.5%
Apr 28, 12:00 AM UTC	77.5%	77.5%
Apr 27, 12:00 AM UTC	75.5%	75.5%
Apr 26, 12:00 AM UTC	77.5%	77.5%
Apr 25, 12:00 AM UTC	68.5%	68.5%
Apr 24, 12:00 AM UTC	78.0%	78.0%
Apr 23, 12:00 AM UTC	71.0%	71.0%
Apr 22, 12:00 AM UTC	73.0%	73.0%
Apr 19, 12:00 AM UTC	63.0%	63.0%
Apr 9, 12:00 AM UTC	68.0%	68.0%
Apr 2, 12:00 AM UTC	70.5%	70.5%
Mar 31, 12:00 AM UTC	84.5%	84.5%
Mar 29, 12:00 AM UTC	84.5%	84.5%
Mar 28, 12:00 AM UTC	83.5%	83.5%
Mar 27, 12:00 AM UTC	83.0%	83.0%
Mar 26, 12:00 AM UTC	81.5%	81.5%
Mar 25, 12:00 AM UTC	84.5%	84.5%
Mar 24, 12:00 AM UTC	88.0%	88.0%
Mar 23, 12:00 AM UTC	80.5%	80.5%
Mar 22, 12:00 AM UTC	81.5%	81.5%
Mar 21, 12:00 AM UTC	79.0%	79.0%
Mar 20, 12:00 AM UTC	65.0%	65.0%
Mar 19, 12:00 AM UTC	60.5%	60.5%
Mar 18, 12:00 AM UTC	45.5%	45.5%
Mar 17, 12:00 AM UTC	49.0%	49.0%
Mar 15, 12:00 AM UTC	52.0%	52.0%
Mar 14, 12:00 AM UTC	47.5%	47.5%
Mar 13, 12:00 AM UTC	55.5%	55.5%
Mar 12, 12:00 AM UTC	49.0%	49.0%
Mar 11, 12:00 AM UTC	33.0%	33.0%
Mar 10, 12:00 AM UTC	45.5%	45.5%
Mar 9, 12:00 AM UTC	45.0%	45.0%
Mar 8, 12:00 AM UTC	38.0%	38.0%
Mar 7, 12:00 AM UTC	45.5%	45.5%
Mar 6, 12:00 AM UTC	40.5%	40.5%
Mar 5, 12:00 AM UTC	34.0%	34.0%
Mar 4, 12:00 AM UTC	36.5%	36.5%
Mar 3, 12:00 AM UTC	19.0%	19.0%
Mar 2, 12:00 AM UTC	12.5%	12.5%
Mar 1, 12:00 AM UTC	11.5%	11.5%
Feb 28, 12:00 AM UTC	12.0%	12.0%
Feb 27, 12:00 AM UTC	12.5%	12.5%
Feb 26, 12:00 AM UTC	12.5%	12.5%
Feb 25, 12:00 AM UTC	13.0%	13.0%
Feb 24, 12:00 AM UTC	14.0%	14.0%
Feb 23, 12:00 AM UTC	14.5%	14.5%
Feb 22, 12:00 AM UTC	14.0%	14.0%
Feb 21, 12:00 AM UTC	14.0%	14.0%
Feb 20, 12:00 AM UTC	14.0%	14.0%
Feb 19, 12:00 AM UTC	14.5%	14.5%
Feb 18, 12:00 AM UTC	15.0%	15.0%
Feb 17, 12:00 AM UTC	16.0%	16.0%
Feb 16, 12:00 AM UTC	15.0%	15.0%
Feb 15, 12:00 AM UTC	13.0%	13.0%
Feb 14, 12:00 AM UTC	15.5%	15.5%
Feb 13, 12:00 AM UTC	13.5%	13.5%
Feb 12, 12:00 AM UTC	12.0%	12.0%
Feb 11, 12:00 AM UTC	13.0%	13.0%
Feb 10, 12:00 AM UTC	13.0%	13.0%
Feb 9, 12:00 AM UTC	13.5%	13.5%
Feb 8, 12:00 AM UTC	9.0%	9.0%
Feb 7, 12:00 AM UTC	9.0%	9.0%
Feb 6, 12:00 AM UTC	9.5%	9.5%
Feb 5, 12:00 AM UTC	15.5%	15.5%
Feb 4, 12:00 AM UTC	14.5%	14.5%
Feb 3, 12:00 AM UTC	15.0%	15.0%
Feb 2, 12:00 AM UTC	14.5%	14.5%
Feb 1, 12:00 AM UTC	13.0%	13.0%
Jan 31, 12:00 AM UTC	12.5%	12.5%
Jan 30, 12:00 AM UTC	12.0%	12.0%
Jan 29, 12:00 AM UTC	12.5%	12.5%
Jan 28, 12:00 AM UTC	16.5%	16.5%
Jan 27, 12:00 AM UTC	13.0%	13.0%
Jan 26, 12:00 AM UTC	9.0%	9.0%
Jan 25, 12:00 AM UTC	10.5%	10.5%
Jan 24, 12:00 AM UTC	14.5%	14.5%
Jan 23, 12:00 AM UTC	16.0%	16.0%
Jan 22, 12:00 AM UTC	14.5%	14.5%
Jan 21, 12:00 AM UTC	13.5%	13.5%
Jan 20, 12:00 AM UTC	14.0%	14.0%
Jan 19, 12:00 AM UTC	13.5%	13.5%
Jan 18, 12:00 AM UTC	12.5%	12.5%
Jan 17, 12:00 AM UTC	11.0%	11.0%
Jan 16, 12:00 AM UTC	12.0%	12.0%
Jan 15, 12:00 AM UTC	10.5%	10.5%
Jan 14, 12:00 AM UTC	9.5%	9.5%
Jan 13, 12:00 AM UTC	9.5%	9.5%
Jan 12, 12:00 AM UTC	9.5%	9.5%
Jan 11, 12:00 AM UTC	9.5%	9.5%
Jan 10, 12:00 AM UTC	10.5%	10.5%
Jan 9, 12:00 AM UTC	9.5%	9.5%
Jan 8, 12:00 AM UTC	9.5%	9.5%
Jan 7, 12:00 AM UTC	10.5%	10.5%
Jan 6, 12:00 AM UTC	14.5%	14.5%
Jan 5, 12:00 AM UTC	15.0%	15.0%
Jan 4, 12:00 AM UTC	15.0%	15.0%
Jan 3, 12:00 AM UTC	16.5%	16.5%
Jan 2, 12:00 AM UTC	16.0%	16.0%
Jan 1, 12:00 AM UTC	22.0%	22.0%
Dec 31, 12:00 AM UTC	23.5%	23.5%
Dec 30, 12:00 AM UTC	25.5%	25.5%
Dec 29, 12:00 AM UTC	26.5%	26.5%
Dec 28, 12:00 AM UTC	26.5%	26.5%
Dec 27, 12:00 AM UTC	27.0%	27.0%
Dec 26, 12:00 AM UTC	23.5%	23.5%
Dec 25, 12:00 AM UTC	30.5%	30.5%
Dec 24, 12:00 AM UTC	56.0%	56.0%

Topic room

Read this market in context

ECB interest rates oddsWhat will the ECB do at its next rate decision?

Research behind the numbers

Analytics

Date

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Jun 11, 12:00 AM UTC

99.7%

Jun 10, 12:00 AM UTC

99.4%

Jun 9, 12:00 AM UTC

99.3%

Jun 8, 12:00 AM UTC

98.5%

Jun 7, 12:00 AM UTC

98.2%

Jun 6, 12:00 AM UTC

98.2%

Jun 5, 12:00 AM UTC

99.1%

Jun 4, 12:00 AM UTC

98.0%

Jun 3, 12:00 AM UTC

97.3%

Jun 2, 12:00 AM UTC

97.0%

Jun 1, 12:00 AM UTC

96.6%

May 31, 12:00 AM UTC

96.5%

May 30, 12:00 AM UTC

96.7%

May 29, 12:00 AM UTC

94.5%

May 28, 12:00 AM UTC

90.5%

May 27, 12:00 AM UTC

87.5%

May 26, 12:00 AM UTC

84.0%

May 25, 12:00 AM UTC

94.0%

May 24, 12:00 AM UTC

92.0%

May 23, 12:00 AM UTC

93.5%

May 22, 12:00 AM UTC

93.5%

May 21, 12:00 AM UTC

93.5%

May 20, 12:00 AM UTC

93.5%

May 19, 12:00 AM UTC

93.5%

May 18, 12:00 AM UTC

92.5%

May 17, 12:00 AM UTC

92.0%

May 16, 12:00 AM UTC

92.0%

May 15, 12:00 AM UTC

91.5%

May 14, 12:00 AM UTC

90.5%

May 13, 12:00 AM UTC

88.5%

May 12, 12:00 AM UTC

87.5%

May 11, 12:00 AM UTC

87.5%

May 10, 12:00 AM UTC

84.5%

May 9, 12:00 AM UTC

84.5%

May 8, 12:00 AM UTC

86.0%

May 7, 12:00 AM UTC

85.5%

May 6, 12:00 AM UTC

91.5%

May 5, 12:00 AM UTC

91.5%

May 4, 12:00 AM UTC

90.0%

May 3, 12:00 AM UTC

90.5%

May 2, 12:00 AM UTC

92.0%

May 1, 12:00 AM UTC

89.0%

Apr 30, 12:00 AM UTC

88.5%

Apr 29, 12:00 AM UTC

84.5%

Apr 28, 12:00 AM UTC

77.5%

Apr 27, 12:00 AM UTC

75.5%

Apr 26, 12:00 AM UTC

77.5%

Apr 25, 12:00 AM UTC

68.5%

Apr 24, 12:00 AM UTC

78.0%

Apr 23, 12:00 AM UTC

71.0%

Apr 22, 12:00 AM UTC

73.0%

Apr 19, 12:00 AM UTC

63.0%

Apr 9, 12:00 AM UTC

68.0%

Apr 2, 12:00 AM UTC

70.5%

Mar 31, 12:00 AM UTC

84.5%

Mar 29, 12:00 AM UTC

84.5%

Mar 28, 12:00 AM UTC

83.5%

Mar 27, 12:00 AM UTC

83.0%

Mar 26, 12:00 AM UTC

81.5%

Mar 25, 12:00 AM UTC

84.5%

Mar 24, 12:00 AM UTC

88.0%

Mar 23, 12:00 AM UTC

80.5%

Mar 22, 12:00 AM UTC

81.5%

Mar 21, 12:00 AM UTC

79.0%

Mar 20, 12:00 AM UTC

65.0%

Mar 19, 12:00 AM UTC

60.5%

Mar 18, 12:00 AM UTC

45.5%

Mar 17, 12:00 AM UTC

49.0%

Mar 15, 12:00 AM UTC

52.0%

Mar 14, 12:00 AM UTC

47.5%

Mar 13, 12:00 AM UTC

55.5%

Mar 12, 12:00 AM UTC

49.0%

Mar 11, 12:00 AM UTC

33.0%

Mar 10, 12:00 AM UTC

45.5%

Mar 9, 12:00 AM UTC

45.0%

Mar 8, 12:00 AM UTC

38.0%

Mar 7, 12:00 AM UTC

45.5%

Mar 6, 12:00 AM UTC

40.5%

Mar 5, 12:00 AM UTC

34.0%

Mar 4, 12:00 AM UTC

36.5%

Mar 3, 12:00 AM UTC

19.0%

Mar 2, 12:00 AM UTC

12.5%

Mar 1, 12:00 AM UTC

11.5%

Feb 28, 12:00 AM UTC

12.0%

Feb 27, 12:00 AM UTC

12.5%

Feb 26, 12:00 AM UTC

12.5%

Feb 25, 12:00 AM UTC

13.0%

Feb 24, 12:00 AM UTC

14.0%

Feb 23, 12:00 AM UTC

14.5%

Feb 22, 12:00 AM UTC

14.0%

Feb 21, 12:00 AM UTC

14.0%

Feb 20, 12:00 AM UTC

14.0%

Feb 19, 12:00 AM UTC

14.5%

Feb 18, 12:00 AM UTC

15.0%

Feb 17, 12:00 AM UTC

16.0%

Feb 16, 12:00 AM UTC

15.0%

Feb 15, 12:00 AM UTC

13.0%

Feb 14, 12:00 AM UTC

15.5%

Feb 13, 12:00 AM UTC

13.5%

Feb 12, 12:00 AM UTC

12.0%

Feb 11, 12:00 AM UTC

13.0%

Feb 10, 12:00 AM UTC

13.0%

Feb 9, 12:00 AM UTC

13.5%

Feb 8, 12:00 AM UTC

9.0%

Feb 7, 12:00 AM UTC

9.0%

Feb 6, 12:00 AM UTC

9.5%

Feb 5, 12:00 AM UTC

15.5%

Feb 4, 12:00 AM UTC

14.5%

Feb 3, 12:00 AM UTC

15.0%

Feb 2, 12:00 AM UTC

14.5%

Feb 1, 12:00 AM UTC

13.0%

Jan 31, 12:00 AM UTC

12.5%

Jan 30, 12:00 AM UTC

12.0%

Jan 29, 12:00 AM UTC

12.5%

Jan 28, 12:00 AM UTC

16.5%

Jan 27, 12:00 AM UTC

13.0%

Jan 26, 12:00 AM UTC

9.0%

Jan 25, 12:00 AM UTC

10.5%

Jan 24, 12:00 AM UTC

14.5%

Jan 23, 12:00 AM UTC

16.0%

Jan 22, 12:00 AM UTC

14.5%

Jan 21, 12:00 AM UTC

13.5%

Jan 20, 12:00 AM UTC

14.0%

Jan 19, 12:00 AM UTC

13.5%

Jan 18, 12:00 AM UTC

12.5%

Jan 17, 12:00 AM UTC

11.0%

Jan 16, 12:00 AM UTC

12.0%

Jan 15, 12:00 AM UTC

10.5%

Jan 14, 12:00 AM UTC

9.5%

Jan 13, 12:00 AM UTC

9.5%

Jan 12, 12:00 AM UTC

9.5%

Jan 11, 12:00 AM UTC

9.5%

Jan 10, 12:00 AM UTC

10.5%

Jan 9, 12:00 AM UTC

9.5%

Jan 8, 12:00 AM UTC

9.5%

Jan 7, 12:00 AM UTC

10.5%

Jan 6, 12:00 AM UTC

14.5%

Jan 5, 12:00 AM UTC

15.0%

Jan 4, 12:00 AM UTC

15.0%

Jan 3, 12:00 AM UTC

16.5%

Jan 2, 12:00 AM UTC

16.0%

Jan 1, 12:00 AM UTC

22.0%

Dec 31, 12:00 AM UTC

23.5%

Dec 30, 12:00 AM UTC

25.5%

Dec 29, 12:00 AM UTC

26.5%

Dec 28, 12:00 AM UTC

26.5%

Dec 27, 12:00 AM UTC

27.0%

Dec 26, 12:00 AM UTC

23.5%

Dec 25, 12:00 AM UTC

30.5%

Dec 24, 12:00 AM UTC

56.0%