Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 15 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 111 daily closes on record from 15 Mar 2025 to 3 Jul 2025, the highest close was 6.9% on 7 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 2 Jul 2025. $26.59K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 4, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 111 points, 15 Mar 2025 – 3 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2025 | 3.5% |
| 3 Jul 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 2.34K |
| melekh | Yes | 1.44K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 484 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if East African nations announce their intention to accept at least 100,000 Gazan refugees between them, either temporarily or long-term, between March 14, and June 30, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, "East African nations" comprise of: Burundi, Comoros, Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Malawi, Madagascar, Mauritius, Mozambique, Rwanda, Seychelles, Somalia, Somaliland, South Sudan, Sudan, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia, Zimbabwe This market will resolve based solely on the number of Gazan refugees that are to be admitted by the listed countries. If East African nations announce they will accept an undisclosed number of Gazan refugees, this market will remain open until the resolution date or further announcements are made clarifying the number of refugees to be accepted, or the number is otherwise confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the governments of Egypt and Jordan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/east-african-countries-agree-to-take-100k-gazan-refugees-before-july
| Yes |
| 71.93 |
| VagO | Yes | 56.78 |
| Usedomer | Yes | 32.47 |
| ganzilin | Yes | 31.75 |
| paquetaalaclef | Yes | 21.91 |
| oya | Yes | 16.39 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 3.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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