Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 68.5%. Yes opened at 60% on 27 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 68.5% on 28 Mar 2025 and the low 60% on 27 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 68.5% on 28 Mar 2025. $19.52K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 29, 9:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 27 Mar 2025 – 28 Mar 2025 · axis zoomed to 55%–75%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Mar 2025 | 60.0% |
| 28 Mar 2025 | 68.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on earth between March 26, and April 30, 2025 ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake hazards program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/earthquake-7pt0-or-above-by-may
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