Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 62.5%. Yes opened at 75% on 13 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 13 Jan 2026 to 3 Feb 2026, the highest close was 75% on 13 Jan 2026 and the lowest 62.5% on 3 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 62.5% on 3 Feb 2026. $6.7K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 5, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 13 Jan 2026 – 3 Feb 2026, chart shows 60%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jan 2026 | 75.0% |
| 3 Feb 2026 | 62.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| seb.uno | No | 811.11 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 320 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 314 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 264 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of PayPal currently scheduled to take place on February 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/earnings-mentions-paypal-2026-02-03
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 127 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 126 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 100 |
| zippa | No | 100 |
| Indigo Sphinx 63D7 | No | 50 |
| brucewayne2026 | No | 49.99 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
