Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 13 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 13 Jan 2026 to 14 Feb 2026, the highest close was 60.5% on 11 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 13 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 58 points down, to 0.8% on 13 Feb 2026. $13.44K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 15, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 13 Jan 2026 – 14 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jan 2026 | 52.5% |
| 14 Feb 2026 | 6.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 377 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 283 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 282 |
| Shameful-Hyena | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Nebius currently forecasted to take place on February 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/earnings-mentions-nebius-2026-02-18
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 172 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 89 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 84 |
| t189 | Yes | 50 |
| Sad-Nation | Yes | 47.6 |
| Sobee | Yes | 21.13 |
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