Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 77.5% on 24 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2025 to 30 Oct 2025, the highest close was 99.8% on 30 Oct 2025 and the lowest 77.5% on 24 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 96.5% on 25 Oct 2025. $520.37 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 4:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 24 Oct 2025 – 30 Oct 2025, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2025 | 77.5% |
| 30 Oct 2025 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Microsoft currently scheduled to take place on October 29, 2025 at 5:00 PM EDT. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/earnings-mentions-microsoft-2025-10-29
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