Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 11% on 18 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 18 Mar 2025 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 11% on 18 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 4% on 19 Mar 2025. $514.16K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 4:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 18 Mar 2025 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2025 | 11.0% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wPNpQwEQmV | Yes | 446 |
| kkmaala | Yes | 400 |
| bWYCEnXZQQ | Yes | 300.11 |
| fightfight | Yes | 299.85 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Duterte is released from custody by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Duterte is released from custody by the resolution date but remains under house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes". If Duterte is released on bond, this will count as being released from custody and the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Duterte to another location of custody will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government bodies, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/duterte-released-from-custody-in-march
| xianz | Yes | 260 |
| wVarNCMVbJ | Yes | 1 |
| CFftKcBqwp | Yes | 0.99 |
| PBJXTaAuce | Yes | 0.85 |
| bSPfSpubPM | Yes | 0.79 |
| OjoqGpxJPr | Yes | 0.68 |
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