Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 85.5% on 15 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 82 daily closes on record from 15 Dec 2023 to 5 Mar 2024, the highest close was 99.8% on 5 Mar 2024 and the lowest 85.5% on 15 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 88% on 10 Jan 2024. $36.15K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 5, 5:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 15 Dec 2023 – 5 Mar 2024, chart shows 80%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Dec 2023 | 85.5% |
| 5 Mar 2024 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Knotty-Row | No | 2.06K |
| AnimeGuy | No | 500 |
| ags83 | No | 56.55 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on whether 'Dune: Part Two' (2024) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than 'Dune' (2023) did, namely more than $41,011,174. The “Domestic Weekend” figure on Box Office Mojo for each film ('Dune': https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt1160419/ ; 'Dune: Part Two': https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 1 - March 3) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses more than $41,011,174 on its 3-day opening. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/dune-2-bigger-opening-weekend-than-dune
| No |
| 20.41 |
| spongeee | Yes | 0.08 |
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