DOW hits 50k by January 23, 2026?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 24, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$8.4K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 24, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 24 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 15 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2026 to 24 Jan 2026, the highest close was 78% on 17 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 24 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 2.6% on 23 Jan 2026. $8.43K traded over the market's life.

20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 6, 9:13 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 15 Jan 2026 – 24 Jan 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
15 Jan 2026	50.0%
24 Jan 2026	0.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	704
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	352
hislimit	Yes	229
Bold Scout BD7E	Yes	229

10 of 20 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between this market’s creation and market close on the final day of trading prior to or on the listed date, any 1-minute candle for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above 50,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EDJI/.