Analytics
Resolved Winter Bear on 13 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Winter Bear at 99.3%. The Winter Bear side opened at 53% on 5 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 99.3% on 13 Feb 2026 and the low 52.9% on 7 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 99.3% on 13 Feb 2026. $2.74K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 14, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Winter Bear price, Polymarket CLOB · 9 points · 5 Feb 2026 – 13 Feb 2026
| Observed | Winter Bear price |
|---|---|
| 5 Feb 2026 | 53.0% |
| 13 Feb 2026 | 99.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Strongboys | 263 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Strongboys | 228 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Strongboys | 192 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Strongboys |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Winter Bear and strongboys in the European Pro League Group B, scheduled for February 4 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Winter Bear" if Winter Bear win the match against strongboys. This market will resolve to "strongboys" if strongboys win the match against Winter Bear. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.liquipedia.net/dota2/Main_Page.
Resolution source: https://www.liquipedia.net/dota2/Main_Page
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/dota2-wb-strong-2026-02-04
| 178 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Strongboys | 118 |
| JMoney14 | Strongboys | 100 |
| TheFinalPercent | Strongboys | 100 |
| b00k13 | Strongboys | 31.15 |
| triklozoid | Strongboys | 30 |
| isiba | Strongboys | 20 |
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