Analytics
Resolved Team Resilience on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Team Resilience at 45.5%. The Team Refuser side opened at 68.5% on 28 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 28 Apr 2026 to 1 May 2026, the highest close was 68.5% on 28 Apr 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 30 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 49.5% on 30 Apr 2026. $27.2K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 10:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Team Refuser price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 28 Apr 2026 – 1 May 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Team Refuser price |
|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2026 | 68.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 54.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Romario88 | Team Refuser | 2.4K |
| Small-Wheel | Team Refuser | 1.85K |
| Jameslyy | Team Refuser | 1.7K |
| Dr.Professional1 | Team Refuser | 999.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between Team Refuser and Team Resilience in the ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 1 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Refuser" if Team Refuser win the match against Team Resilience. This market will resolve to "Team Resilience" if Team Resilience win the match against Team Refuser. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/dota2-ref-tr7-2026-05-01
| Henry014 | Team Refuser | 652.32 |
| bladeform | Team Refuser | 629 |
| fn009 | Team Refuser | 510.32 |
| kitopesivan | Team Refuser | 206.5 |
| altt444 | Team Refuser | 175 |
| aggerrr | Team Refuser | 104.24 |
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