Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49% on 4 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49% on 4 Jul 2026 and the low 0.1% on 8 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 12.5% on 6 Jul 2026. $338.75 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 8, 7:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 5 points · 4 Jul 2026 – 8 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2026 | 49.0% |
| 8 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 540.44 |
| Azure Beacon B2A8 | Yes | 45.45 |
| poshposh | Yes | 34.42 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, if Inner Circle wins the series (wins both games, 2-0), this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the series is postponed, this market will remain open until the series has been completed. If the series is canceled entirely, with no make-up, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the result of the best-of-two series (both games). The primary resolution source for this market is the official results of the event as recognized by the tournament organizer. However, if the tournament organizer has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the tournament organizer. Revisions to officially declared final results made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/dota2-ic-1win-2026-07-07-match-result
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
