Analytics
Resolved 1win on 8 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had 1win at 100%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 2 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 8 Jul 2026, the highest close was 21% on 7 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 0.1% on 8 Jul 2026. $8.46K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 9, 1:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 8 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 16.5% |
| 8 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| grandculp | Inner Circle | 1.96K |
| vibing123 | Inner Circle | 304.32 |
| Sphinx | Inner Circle | 229.99 |
| glinomessi | Inner Circle | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Inner Circle and 1win in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 7 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Inner Circle" if Inner Circle win the match against 1win. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win the match against Inner Circle. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/dota2-ic-1win-2026-07-07
| BookShy | Inner Circle | 84 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Inner Circle | 83.48 |
| aogu | Inner Circle | 36.51 |
| fmanager | Inner Circle | 30 |
| shiifoo | Inner Circle | 25 |
| hermitp3 | Inner Circle | 20 |
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