Analytics
Resolved Natus Vincere on 10 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Natus Vincere at 50%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 9 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 9 Dec 2025 and the low 50% on 10 Dec 2025. $265.46K traded over the market's life.
174 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 12, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 9 Dec 2025 – 10 Dec 2025 · axis zoomed to 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Dec 2025 | 50.5% |
| 10 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Pepega228 | Aurora | 11.7K |
| IOR | Aurora | 1.44K |
| Harmonious-Fog | Aurora | 1.21K |
| Nbeazy97 | Aurora | 1.18K |
| Punisher2022 | Aurora | 1.11K |
| Charlie1991 | Aurora | 761 |
| mamamiyaXD | Aurora | 655.33 |
| Ill-Warlock | Aurora | 647.58 |
| BigBlackGorilla | Aurora | 562.32 |
| Ravvr | Aurora | 507.77 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win against Natus Vincere in the named Dota 2 match in the DreamLeague Group Stage, scheduled for December 10 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win against Aurora in the Dota 2 match. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.liquipedia.net/dota2/Main_Page.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/dota2-aur1-navi-2025-12-10
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