The question, the state of play, and how it settles
Facts updated Aug 5, 2026 UTC
“Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Yes and No. The Yes price is the market's implied probability that the question resolves Yes. Quotes can change as orders are updated or filled; a quoted price does not guarantee an available fill at that price.
The venue reports this market as closed. Its scheduled close is Aug 4, 2026 UTC. No resolved outcome is inferred from a closed or suspended state.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 500 recent public fills from 214 wallets. Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
Timeline
Event starts
Aug 3, 2026 UTC
Trading closed
Aug 4, 2026 UTC
Now
Live observation
Event starts
Source Evidence
Evidence coverage
Items
2
Fetched
2
Latest
Aug 13, 2026 UTC
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Depth
Observed
Aug 5, 2026 UTC
This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.
Market state
Closed
Order book
Captured book available
Observed Yes
100.0%
The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.
Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.
Rows loaded
Wallets
Top 10 share
Yes / No shares
The provider top-holder sample is currently unavailable.
Recent tapeLatest public market trades.
Trades loaded
500
Wallets
214
Loaded notional
$103.6K
1win sell at 99.9%
Field guide
How to read this market
9 stops
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
01
Yes and No prices
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
Last observed
Yes 100.0¢ · No 0.0¢
02
Implied probability
Price historyPolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Aug 4, 12:00 AM UTC
Points
1
Latest close
67.5%
Last bucket
Aug 4, 12:00 AM UTC
Top holdersLargest rows from the capped public top-holder endpoint; not venue-wide open interest.
Top-holder sample unavailable
The current provider holder request did not complete. No legacy holder rows are being substituted.
Event contextBest-effort grouped event lookup for this market.
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
Uncategorized • 33 linked markets
More in this event
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
What is the “Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Aug 4, 2026 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between 1win and Vici Gaming in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 4 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win the match against Vici Gaming. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win the match against 1win. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($186.66K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Aug 3, 2026 UTC
Trading closedAug 4, 2026 UTC
NowLive observation
Resolution rules
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between 1win and Vici Gaming in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 4 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win the match against Vici Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win the match against 1win.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Aug 4, 12:00 AM UTC
Points
1
Move
0.0 pts
Range
67.5% - 67.5%
Aug 4, 12:00 AM UTC to Aug 4, 12:00 AM UTC
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ implies 21.5%, but fees, available depth and who participates can affect that price. A market price is not a calibrated forecast or a verdict.
Yes chance
100.0%
03
24h volume
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Traded in 24h
$186.66K
04
Liquidity
Reported dollars resting in the order book. The available size on your side, at the prices you would accept, determines what can fill. A large total alone does not guarantee an execution near the quoted price.
05
Spread
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
06
Top holders and concentration
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
07
Trade tape
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Loaded fills
500 fills · 214 wallets · $103.6K
08
Price history
Hourly closes of the Yes price. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
09
Close and resolution
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
Closes
Aug 4, 2026 UTC
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between 1win and Vici Gaming in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 4 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win the match against Vici Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win the match against 1win.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
EvidenceMarket-scoped source, creator, and related-market links.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Aug 5, 5:13 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/dota2-1win-vg-2026-08-04) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
