Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 80%. Yes opened at 91.5% on 15 Jul 2024. Before it settled, the high was 91.5% on 15 Jul 2024 and the low 80% on 16 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 80% on 16 Jul 2024. $19.29K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 17, 4:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 15 Jul 2024 – 16 Jul 2024, chart shows 75%–95%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2024 | 91.5% |
| 16 Jul 2024 | 80.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Expert-Alpha | No | 1.06K |
| etfzhienghoa | Yes | 0.04 |
| lolerson | Yes | 0.03 |
| 0xbonvivant | Yes | 0.01 |
| WRSGE | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is visibly wearing a bandage on his right ear during his first public appearance at the 2024 Republican National Convention (RNC) at the Fiserv Forum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution will be based on photo or video evidence from Donald Trump at the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/donald-trumps-ear-bandaged-during-rnc-convention
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
