Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?

politicsResolved

No, settled Oct 3, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.1K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 3, 2026 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved No on 3 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.2%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 27 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 27 Sep 2026 to 3 Oct 2026, the highest close was 20% on 1 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.8% on 2 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 1.8% on 2 Oct 2026. $2.12K traded over the market's life.

20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 4, 2:37 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 27 Sep 2026 – 3 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.06K
Happy-Go-Lucky-Clank	Yes	808.09
Deafening-Possible	Yes	150
balthazar	Yes	143.26

10 of 20 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 29, 12:00 PM ET and October 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.