Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 30% on 1 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 336 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 30% on 1 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 13.4% on 18 Nov 2025. $69.8K traded over the market's life.
46 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 336 points, 1 Feb 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2025 | 30.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bogdanv | Yes | 4.76K |
| Asapk.eth | Yes | 1.16K |
| SeppFoacha | Yes | 1.01K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an advertisement for the cryptocurrency WIF (dogwifhat) is visibly displayed on the exterior of the Las Vegas Sphere by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/dogwifhat-on-the-sphere-in-2025-10m
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| sirw | Yes | 499.99 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 424 |
| 2sigmas-below | Yes | 299.99 |
| Olka | Yes | 200 |
| Stonk1m | Yes | 148.6 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 129 |
| repulse | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
