Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 50% on 19 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 44 daily closes on record from 19 Sep 2024 to 1 Nov 2024, the highest close was 50% on 19 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 13.5% on 20 Sep 2024. $66.3K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 2, 1:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 19 Sep 2024 – 1 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2024 | 50.0% |
| 1 Nov 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| godmode9999 | Yes | 999.97 |
| Playastorm | Yes | 945.95 |
| racetotop | Yes | 714.29 |
| Only1jah | Yes | 300 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if P Diddy is released from custody by October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Diddy is released from custody by the resolution date but remains in house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes". If Diddy is released on bond, this will count as being released from custody and the market will resolve to "Yes." Transporting Diddy to another location of custody will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government bodies, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/diddy-released-from-custody-before-november
| Moww | Yes | 268.44 |
| TheApe | Yes | 256.15 |
| Purple-Listing | Yes | 241.38 |
| campaign | Yes | 135.14 |
| jhmw79 | Yes | 66.67 |
| Equal-Soybean | Yes | 14.29 |
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