Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 28 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 28 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2024, the highest close was 6.5% on 28 Mar 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Apr 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 1.5% on 30 Mar 2024. $4.64K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 28 Mar 2024 – 1 Apr 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2024 | 6.5% |
| 1 Apr 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bronie | Yes | 207.44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if American rapper Sean Combs (a.k.a. "Diddy") is arrested between March 25, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. However, official information from the government involved in any action against Diddy and information from Diddy's legal representatives will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/diddy-arrested-in-march
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