Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 80% on 26 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 26 Mar 2024 to 1 May 2024, the highest close was 80% on 26 Mar 2024 and the lowest 1.1% on 1 May 2024. Its largest one-day move was 50 points down, to 21% on 28 Mar 2024. $40.06K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 26 Mar 2024 – 1 May 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2024 | 80.0% |
| 1 May 2024 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lively-Lyrics | Yes | 50 |
| Bil-803 | Yes | 29.41 |
| Rapid Signal AD04 | Yes | 16.92 |
| UnFamous | Yes | 13.64 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if American rapper Sean Combs (a.k.a. "Diddy") is arrested between March 25, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. However, official information from the government involved in any action against Diddy and information from Diddy's legal representatives will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/diddy-arrested-before-may
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| GianniCobra | No | 0.08 |
| Justtesting-341 | Yes | 0.03 |
