Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Aug 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25% on 1 Aug 2023. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2023 to 16 Aug 2023, the highest close was 25% on 1 Aug 2023 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 Aug 2023. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 1.5% on 2 Aug 2023. $53.24K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 16, 4:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 1 Aug 2023 – 16 Aug 2023, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2023 | 25.0% |
| 16 Aug 2023 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| leoleoleoleo | Yes | 4.24K |
| riskaddict | Yes | 2K |
| Cultivated-Fries | Yes | 533.33 |
| DumbPunter | Yes | 465.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive, definitive evidence emerges that Sam Bankman-Fried was involved in the deployment of the BALD token by August 15, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution for this market will be based on a consensus of credible sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/did-sbf-launch-bald
| Yummy-Caterpillar | Yes | 312 |
| sbf | Yes | 250 |
| nosis | Yes | 250 |
| niknike | Yes | 200 |
| hugo0o | Yes | 25 |
| Neon Meteor C66A | Yes | 6 |
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