Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Feb 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 90%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Feb 2023. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2023 to 15 Feb 2023 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 1 Feb 2023 and the lowest 5% on 5 Feb 2023. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 10% on 15 Feb 2023. $3.7K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 14, 10:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 89 points, 1 Feb 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2023 | 50.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Horizon C7CE | Yes | 1.1M |
| Jade Atlas 64FA | Yes | 0.16 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On January 31, 2023, US District Judge Lewis Kaplan ordered that details pertaining to Samuel Bankman-Fried's bond guarantors be made public. To permit time for an appeal of this decision, the order will not be implemented until February 7, 2023. This is a market group over who will be named as individuals bailing out Mr. Bankman-Fried. .
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-bailed-out-sbf
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