Analytics
Yes is at 74%, up 24 points from 50% when the market opened on 12 Aug 2026.
Across the 73 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 89.5% on 4 Oct 2026 and the lowest 42% on 14 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 83%; a month before, 67.5%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 89.5% on 4 Oct 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Pro Football: Derrick Henry 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns”.
$124.01 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.1K since listing. The order book holds $188.74, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 89 trades, $288.95 bought Yes and $83.37 bought No.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 67 shares; the largest No position is erdos-baconator with 61. Ten wallets hold 88.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 27 Jan 2027, 95 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 11:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 73 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 74.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AJSV | Yes | 67.33 |
| erdos-baconator | No | 61.01 |
| justmeandme | Yes | 51 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of rushing touchdowns Derrick Henry records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 12.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Derrick Henry does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many rushing touchdowns Derrick Henry recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/derrick-henry-rushing-touchdowns-2026-27
| tilazczz |
| Yes |
| 24.46 |
| Coral Summit 331B | No | 20 |
| youyizhiguangg | No | 20 |
| Original-Anything-Petition | No | 19.73 |
| kingtyrone | No | 18 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 16.1 |
| UpTheStairs | Yes | 15.37 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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