Analytics
Yes is at 51.9%, down 18 points from 70% when the market opened on 3 Mar 2026.
Across the 209 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (31 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 96.6% on 13 May 2026 and the lowest 38.4% on 17 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 49.9%; a month before, 69.7%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 51% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 7 markets under “Decibel FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$10 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.76K since listing. The order book holds $309.75, with a 16.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 134 trades, $689.87 bought Yes and $578.51 bought No.
The largest Yes position is cornishon2 with 248 shares; the largest No position is altaironmission with 356. Ten wallets hold 79.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 7:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 209 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 70.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 51.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| altaironmission | No | 355.93 |
| cornishon2 | Yes | 248.44 |
| wanysys | Yes | 191.05 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Decibel's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Decibel (https://x.com/DecibelTrade) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/decibel-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| wsdsg99 |
| Yes |
| 114.82 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 110 |
| Odd-Relish | No | 106 |
| christinejunzhu | Yes | 99.99 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 72.46 |
| Cryptoking124 | Yes | 64 |
| Zaless | Yes | 49.79 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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