Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 40% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 71 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, the highest close was 51.5% on 19 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 35% on 22 Jun 2026. $372.6 traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 5:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 71 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 40.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dan Driscoll ceases to be United States Secretary of the Army for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Driscoll's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Dan Driscoll and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/dan-driscoll-out-as-secretary-of-the-army-by-june-30
| Yes |
| 15 |
| pm-nothing | No | 8.2 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Every-Administrator | Yes | 1.89 |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt | Yes | 0.01 |
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