CZ sentenced to prison?

Resolved

Yes, settled Apr 30, 2024 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$109.0K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Apr 30, 2024 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 30 Apr 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 64.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 14 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 77 daily closes on record from 14 Feb 2024 to 30 Apr 2024, the highest close was 90.5% on 25 Apr 2024 and the lowest 37% on 26 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 90.5% on 25 Apr 2024. $108.99K traded over the market's life.

8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:10 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 77 points, 14 Feb 2024 – 30 Apr 2024

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 Feb 2024	49.0%
30 Apr 2024	64.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
nothanks123	No	2.25K
Thermidor2k	No	131.58
Rapid Signal AD04	No	95.31

8 of 8 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On Feb 13 it was announced the sentencing of Changpeng Zhao (CZ) in the ongoing case "United States v. Changpeng Zhao" would be postponed to April 30 (see https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/12/criminal-sentencing-of-binance-founder-cz-postponed-to-late-april-.html). This market will resolve to "Yes" if CZ is sentenced to spend any time in custody of a jail or prison, as part of "United States v. Changpeng Zhao", by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.