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Resolved Yes on 30 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 45%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 25 Apr 2024. Before it settled, the high was 45% on 30 Apr 2024 and the low 10.5% on 25 Apr 2024. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 24.5% on 26 Apr 2024. $153.27K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 25 Apr 2024 – 30 Apr 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2024 | 10.5% |
| 30 Apr 2024 | 45.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 105.97K |
| Corduroy | No | 6.53K |
| genez | No | 1.84K |
| leozth | No | 6.57 |
| LBZcapital | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if CZ is sentenced to less than 6 months in prison, as part of the ongoing case 'United States v. Changpeng Zhao', by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the sentencing is expressed in days by the court, one month will be considered equivalent to 30 days for the purposes of this market. This market will resolve based on the first sentence rendered by the court regarding CZ's present trial. The market pertains to the actual time to be served in his sentence—if he is given concurrent sentences, the longest one is used. If he is given consecutive sentences, the sum of their lengths is used. If no sentence is rendered by Dec 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-czs-sentence-be
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